Seattle Kraken
5-on-5 · model-estimatedKraken: a balanced team (49.6% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending.
How to read this
This is one team through the publication's three layers. The identity row separates process — the chances a club creates and allows (, ) — from luck, which is what measures. Process predicts the future; luck predicts a correction.
Everything below follows that split: regression flags mark places where results have outrun (or trailed) the underlying play, talent tiers and the player table rank the roster by a model-estimated , and roster needs compare each position group against league average. The proxies rank things usefully but share credit with linemates — read orderings as solid and exact magnitudes as approximate.
- PROCESS
- chance creation and possession — xG%, Corsi. The repeatable part.
- RESULT
- goals, wins, special-teams conversion. What the standings see.
- LUCK
- PDO, finishing vs expected, GSAx — the part that mean-reverts.
- GOLD/RED
- regression flags: gold = watch it, red = act on it
- WAR / Impact are model-estimated proxies, not cap-validated
- Roster-need gaps are ordinal — ranked correctly, magnitudes relative
- No standout edges flagged.
- Leaky penalty kill (72% kill rate).
- None
- Jared McCann
- Brandon Montour
- Shane Wright
- Ben Meyers
- Jordan Eberle
- Matty Beniers
- Bobby McMann
- Kaapo Kakko
- Vince Dunn
- Ryker Evans
- Jaden Schwartz
- Ryan Winterton
- Berkly Catton
- Jamie Oleksiak
- Jani Nyman
- Jacob Melanson
- Cale Fleury
- Joshua Mahura
- Chandler Stephenson
- Eeli Tolvanen
- Adam Larsson
- Frederick Gaudreau
- Ryan Lindgren
Special teams
Goaltending
| Goaltender | GP | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 47 | 89.750 | 100.000 | +1.6 |
| Philipp Grubauer | 32 | 90.880 | — | +0.0 |
Gaps are ordinal — needs are ranked correctly; treat the magnitude as relative, not absolute.
| Player | GP | TOI/GP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan EberleR | 80 | 14.8 | +59.60 | +2.1 |
| Jared McCannL | 52 | 12.7 | +65.00 | +1.8 |
| Matty BeniersC | 82 | 15.2 | +50.80 | +1.7 |
| Bobby McMannC | 78 | 14.3 | +48.00 | +1.7 |
| Brandon MontourD | 64 | 19.3 | +70.50 | +1.6 |
| Kaapo KakkoR | 65 | 12.6 | +52.00 | +1.5 |
| Vince DunnD | 81 | 18.0 | +51.10 | +1.3 |
| Shane WrightC | 74 | 11.9 | +60.50 | +1.3 |
| Ben MeyersC | 52 | 10.2 | +67.30 | +0.8 |
| Ryker EvansD | 67 | 16.0 | +59.90 | +0.8 |
How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.
Schedule load
The 1st-heaviest schedule in the league — 84 games, 1.3 days average rest.
Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green
16 games with more rest than the opponent · 21 with fewer · 46 even.
6 games in 9 days with 3,485 travel miles
Jan 18 – Jan 26
6 games in 11 days with 4,807 travel miles
Dec 12 – Dec 22
6 games in 11 days with 4,661 travel miles
Feb 19 – Mar 1