Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Pittsburgh Penguins

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Tue, Apr 142025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Tue, Apr 14): PIT 5 - 7 STL — a loss to the Blues.

Penguins: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (2 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
41
Wins (all)
41
Losses (all)
293
Goals for
268
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • Team finishing is +18 goals above xG — shooting luck likely to cool.
  • Stuart Skinner sv% 88.8% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

STRONG
Load index
74/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 9th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
31,480
road miles flown
15
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
18
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
15
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
6
Longest road trip
4,035 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d15
1d42
2d20
3+d6

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

26 games with more rest than the opponent · 29 with fewer · 28 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 12 days with 4,737 travel miles

    Nov 3Nov 14

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,080 travel miles

    Feb 28Mar 9

  • 6 games in 10 days with 2,514 travel miles

    Nov 19Nov 28

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists