The Bruins stole one. They lost the expected-goals battle 4.20–3.25 and won anyway.
Boston won 6–1 in a game where Winnipeg dominated the underlying metrics. The Jets controlled 56% of expected goals; the Bruins controlled the scoreboard.
This was pure finish. Boston shot at a 44% expected-goal rate but scored on high-danger chances at an unsustainable clip. Winnipeg shot 56% of the xG and scored on zero of seven high-danger looks. Boston converted three of six on identical opportunities. That shooting split in the slot turns what xG suggested should be close into a 6-1 blowout.
J. Swayman stole this game. He stopped 23 of 24 shots (0.958 SV%) and saved 3.2 goals above expected—the margin of victory on its own. The Jets had ample high-danger chances and buried none. The Bruins had fewer and converted half. Shot volume without execution is just noise.
Boston held 53% of shot attempts and trailed in expected goals. They scored four rush goals on 25 rush attempts—a ratio they will not sustain. What looked like dominance was finish and Swayman's excellence carrying them past a Jets team that was the better five-on-five side.
Winnipeg was the more dangerous team. It did not matter.
