The Flyers earned it — the game and the expected-goals battle both.
Philadelphia's 2-1 overtime victory over Boston looked far tighter than the numbers suggest. The Flyers controlled 65% of expected goals at 5v5 (3.49–1.91), out-executing the Bruins in possession, shot quality, and dangerous territory throughout.
The Flyers' dominance showed in every outlet. They held 62% of shot attempts, 31 to 19, and generated 5 high-danger chances against the Bruins' 2. Shot quality reveals why possession mattered: Philadelphia posted 0.062 expected goals per shot versus Boston's 0.040. That gap means the Flyers weren't just shooting more—they were positioning deeper, crashing harder, and creating 3 rebound opportunities, one of which led to a goal.
One goaltender held this game together: J. Korpisalo for Boston. He stopped 29 of 31 shots for a 0.935 save percentage, beating his expected performance by 1.49 goals and nearly stealing a result the underlying play didn't warrant. The Flyers' D. Vladar matched the excellence with 18 of 19 saves and a 0.947 SV%, though against far softer volume.
Even the variance tells the story. Philadelphia underperformed its xG by 1.49 goals; Boston underperformed by 0.91. Superior metrics finally converted when Porter Martone ended it with a wrist shot from the slot at 02:31 of overtime.