Paraded to the penalty box
Took 5 penalties for 20 minutes (opponent: 3 for 14).
Cut the stick infractions — the penalty differential is a controllable.

Split squads and prospects, not the club that will take the ice in October. The shots and grades below describe this game only: nothing here counts toward season records, form, rankings or player numbers.
Vegas won this one 4-2, but their power play had almost nothing to do with it. The Golden Knights went 0-for-4 with the man advantage — a flat F, the same grade the Kings earned going 0-for-2 of their own. League average on the power play runs around 21%. Both special-teams units were nowhere near it, which means a two-goal final margin came almost entirely from play at even strength, not from the man advantage either team was handed.
The Golden Knights built their cushion early. V. Kmec opened the scoring late in the first period, assisted by M. Sapovaliv and M. Gatcomb, and R. Lavoie made it 2-0 less than a minute later on a feed from T. Laczynski and B. Bowman. Los Angeles spent the rest of the game chasing. A. Lee got the Kings on the board in the second period, set up by K. Connors and S. Perunovich, and L. Pederson tied it at 2-2 in the third on a goal from C. Guttman and J. Wright — a game that had tightened right back up heading into the final minutes.
It didn't stay tight. J. Hallum, unassisted apart from V. Kmec's helper, put Vegas back in front at 3-2 in the third period, and the turning point of the night came later in that period when Hallum's shot found the empty net — J. Demek picking up the assist — to make it 4-2 and put the game away. Hallum finished with a two-goal night that bookended the third period and buried the Kings' comeback bid.
The number that actually explains how Vegas pulled away, though, isn't a shot count — the league's play-by-play feed carries no shot data for this game, so there's no chance-quality read to lean on here. It's penalties. Vegas took just 3 minor infractions for 14 minutes, while Los Angeles took 5 for 20 — a real discipline edge that shows up in the report card as an A- for Vegas against a D- for the Kings. Normally that kind of gap hands the cleaner team a power-play field day. It didn't here: Vegas's own power play went cold anyway, going 0-for-4 on the extra looks that Kings penalties created. The Golden Knights won this game in spite of their special teams, not because of them — the discipline advantage mattered less as a scoring source and more as a sign of which team was skating in control and which was chasing the puck.
That's the real story underneath the 4-2 final: a game where neither power play worked, decided instead by two quick strikes to open it and Hallum closing it out late.
Three Stars
Golden Knights beat the Kings 4-2
Dead even on chances. The Golden Knights took it anyway.
The board read VGK 4, LAK 2. The chances read VGK 0.0, LAK 0.0.
The Golden Knights scored 4.0 more than their chances were worth. That does not repeat.
Golden Knights beat the Kings 4-2
A model, not a newsroom. Every number on these frames comes from the NHL's play-by-play and our own models. Nothing was watched, guessed or heard from anyone.
Read the full breakdownscore reads VGK–LAK
VGK finished +4.0 against expected, LAK +2.0.
Two things happened in this game: who created the better chances, and who put the puck in the net. They are not the same thing, and this page separates them on purpose.
The one to watch is expected goals— the best single read on who deserved to win. When it disagrees with the scoreboard, that disagreement is usually the story. Nothing here is a projection; every figure is computed from this game's play-by-play. Full glossary →
VGK 0-for-4 on the power play (0%; league ≈21%) with 0.00 PP xG.
LAK 0-for-2 on the power play (0%; league ≈21%) with 0.00 PP xG.
VGK Took 3 penalties for 14 PIM vs 5 for 20 on the other side.
LAK Took 5 penalties for 20 PIM vs 3 for 14 on the other side.
Took 5 penalties for 20 minutes (opponent: 3 for 14).
Cut the stick infractions — the penalty differential is a controllable.
Jackson Hallum's shot in P3 swung the game.
2G — the game's first star.
0-for-4 with the man advantage on 0.00 PP xG.
Rework PP entries and get a body to the net-front.
1G 1A — the game's second star.
Just 3 penalties for 14 minutes vs 5 for 20 on the other side.
Split squads and prospects, not the club that will take the ice in October. The rates below are last season's; this exhibition will not count toward season records, form, rankings or player numbers.
The model projects a 3.1–3.1 game with Vegas at 50% win probability — essentially a pick'em. But the underlying play tells a different story. Vegas owns 54.5% xG to LA's 51.4%, dominates possession at 52.3% Corsi, and is simply running cold right now. The Golden Knights sit at 0.983 PDO — converting below their shot quality — while LA sits at 1.001, right on the expected regression line. That gap is due to tighten in Vegas's favor.
The battle hinges on Brandon Saad. At 0.91 xG/60 and 3 goals, he's Vegas's most dangerous scorer at 5v5, the player LA must gameplan around. His 1 high-danger goal is modest against his underlying shot quality, and at 4.1% shooting, there's room for his conversion to normalize upward. If Saad breaks through, LA's shutdown assignment fails and Vegas's advantage widens.
Alex Laferriere is LA's counter-threat. Sixteen goals at 0.87 xG/60 means he's running hot — his 9.9% shooting is unsustainable. Vegas's defensive vulnerabilities create his opening. Rasmus Andersson allows 2.49 xGA/60 with 68 high-danger shots against this season, and that weakness sits directly in Laferriere's crosshairs. His 2 high-danger goals confirm he's generating elite volume; the question is whether the shooting percentage persists.
Secondary depth favors Vegas. Tomas Hertl delivers 0.88 xG/60, adding elite shot quality behind Saad's primary threat. Jared Wright sits at 0.83 xG/60 for LA with 0 goals — a volume generator who hasn't unlocked his scoring upside. Vegas's second line is sharper.
Defensively, Rasmus Andersson is the weak link for Vegas, and Adrian Kempe carries that load for LA. But Andersson's underlying numbers are worse, and he's facing LA's entire offensive depth. The Golden Knights own the underlying advantage and are due for regression to reverse their PDO deficit. LA needs Laferriere to stay ablaze and Andersson to implode further to steal this one. The numbers point to Vegas.
Season rates in this preview are from 2025-26 — this season's sample isn't live yet.
VGK by 0 points of win probability — effectively a coin flip. Projected score VGK 3.1–3.1 LAK; 16% chance it's tied after 60.
VGK holds 5 of 6 process categories — and the luck row (0.983 vs 1.001) says LAK has been getting the bounces, which tends not to last.
Key matchup: Neutralize Brandon Saad (3G, 0.91 xG/60, 1 HD goals)
Key matchup: Neutralize Brandon Saad (3G, 0.91 xG/60, 1 HD goals)
Key matchup: Neutralize Alex Laferriere (16G, 0.87 xG/60, 2 HD goals)
Key matchup: Neutralize Alex Laferriere (16G, 0.87 xG/60, 2 HD goals)
Rasmus Andersson is on ice for 2.49 xGA/60 and 68 high-danger shots against this season.
Hunt matchups against Rasmus Andersson's shifts with the top line.
Adrian Kempe is on ice for 2.47 xGA/60 and 43 high-danger shots against this season.
Hunt matchups against Adrian Kempe's shifts with the top line.