Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Anaheim Ducks

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Thu, Apr 162025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Thu, Apr 16): ANA 5 - 4 NSH — a win over the Predators.

Ducks: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (3 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
43
Wins (all)
39
Losses (all)
273
Goals for
288
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 0.981 — running cold at 5v5; due for positive regression.
  • Team finishing is -20 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
  • Lukas Dostal sv% 88.8% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

STRONG
Load index
81/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 7th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
45,118
road miles flown
11
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
16
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
16
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
6
Longest road trip
4,198 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d11
1d49
2d18
3+d5

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

25 games with more rest than the opponent · 22 with fewer · 36 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 11 days with 6,212 travel miles

    Dec 12Dec 22

  • 6 games in 10 days with 4,094 travel miles

    Feb 11Feb 20

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,438 travel miles

    Nov 14Nov 23

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists