Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Carolina Hurricanes

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Tue, Apr 142025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Tue, Apr 14): CAR 2 - 1 NYI — a win over the Islanders.

Hurricanes: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (3 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
53
Wins (all)
29
Losses (all)
296
Goals for
240
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 0.984 — running cold at 5v5; due for positive regression.
  • Team finishing is -9 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
  • Brandon Bussi sv% 89.5% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

DEPTH
Load index
26/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 24th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
40,045
road miles flown
12
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
15
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
15
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
5
Longest road trip
4,521 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d12
1d47
2d18
3+d6

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

16 games with more rest than the opponent · 20 with fewer · 46 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 14 days with 6,373 travel miles

    Nov 1Nov 14

  • 6 games in 11 days with 3,840 travel miles

    Oct 17Oct 27

  • 6 games in 10 days with 2,765 travel miles

    Oct 2Oct 11

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists