Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Calgary Flames

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Thu, Apr 162025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Thu, Apr 16): LAK 1 - 3 CGY — a win over the Kings.

Flames: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (2 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
34
Wins (all)
48
Losses (all)
212
Goals for
259
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 0.984 — running cold at 5v5; due for positive regression.
  • Team finishing is -20 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

DEPTH
Load index
10/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 29th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
43,198
road miles flown
8
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
10
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
10
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
6
Longest road trip
4,734 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d8
1d53
2d16
3+d6

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

19 games with more rest than the opponent · 16 with fewer · 48 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 10 days with 4,805 travel miles

    Mar 12Mar 21

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,162 travel miles

    Nov 14Nov 23

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,148 travel miles

    Oct 28Nov 6

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists