Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Colorado Avalanche

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Thu, Apr 162025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Thu, Apr 16): SEA 0 - 2 COL — a win over the Kraken.

Avalanche: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (2 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
55
Wins (all)
27
Losses (all)
302
Goals for
203
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 1.021 — running hot at 5v5; expect negative regression.
  • Team finishing is -11 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

DEPTH
Load index
32/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 22nd-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
50,591
road miles flown
10
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
10
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
6
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
5
Longest road trip
3,760 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d10
1d54
2d13
3+d6

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

21 games with more rest than the opponent · 20 with fewer · 42 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 11 days with 4,386 travel miles

    Feb 27Mar 9

  • 6 games in 11 days with 4,348 travel miles

    Feb 12Feb 22

  • 6 games in 11 days with 4,269 travel miles

    Nov 25Dec 5

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists