Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Ottawa Senators

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Wed, Apr 152025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Wed, Apr 15): TOR 1 - 3 OTT — a win over the Maple Leafs.

Senators: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (1 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
44
Wins (all)
38
Losses (all)
278
Goals for
246
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • Linus Ullmark sv% 89.1% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

ELITE
Load index
94/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 3rd-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
35,653
road miles flown
14
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
18
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
19
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
5
Longest road trip
5,174 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d14
1d48
2d14
3+d7

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

16 games with more rest than the opponent · 22 with fewer · 45 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 12 days with 5,174 travel miles

    Oct 24Nov 4

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,385 travel miles

    Feb 9Feb 18

  • 6 games in 13 days with 4,964 travel miles

    Jan 2Jan 14

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists