The Oilers won a genuine coin flip — neither side controlled the run of play.
Edmonton won 4-3 in overtime, but by every underlying measure, Carolina should have won. The Hurricanes held 61% of shot attempts, carried a slight edge in expected goals (3.75–3.52), and won the high-danger-chance battle decisively at 8-4. That dominance should have translated into goals. It didn't.
Variance flipped the result. Carolina underperformed its expected goals by 0.75—the Hurricanes created chances of a quality that typically converts once more per game. Meanwhile, S. Skinner played at 0.917 on 33 saves out of 36, outperforming his expectation by exactly 0.75. F. Andersen, by contrast, stopped just 19 of 23 for an 0.826 save percentage, a weak performance when his team needed elite goaltending.
The Hurricanes built their advantage on the rush, scoring 3 goals from 32 chances, but they also scored twice from low-danger areas—shots that don't belong in the net. Edmonton capitalized on 3 rush opportunities from 25 attempts and was more efficient on rebound chances, converting one of three created compared to Carolina's zero conversions on three opportunities.
Leon Draisaitl's snap shot from the top of the circles at 00:19 of overtime ended it. On merit, though, Carolina should have already had this game decided.