The Kraken stole one. They lost the expected-goals battle 5.03–4.53 and won anyway.
The Kraken beat the Bruins 7–4 in a game the underlying numbers called nearly even — expected goals split 4.53–5.03, a slight edge to Boston. Seattle overperformed their xG by 2.47 goals while Boston underperformed by 1.03, a divergence that explained the final margin.
The Kraken controlled play modestly: 43% of shot attempts (27–36 on goal) and an 8–11 disadvantage in high-danger chances. J. Daccord stopped 1.0 goals above expected (32/36 saves, 0.889 SV%); J. Swayman allowed 1.5 more than expected (20/26 saves, 0.769 SV%). Both teams managed two low-danger goals apiece—the kind of bounce-dependent scoring that separates the scoreboard from the numbers.
Seattle's power play was the outlier: 3 goals on 9 shots (0.77 xG). The Kraken were equally lethal off the rush, with 6 goals on 23 chances. Boston managed only 2 goals from 32 rush attempts, squandering a high-volume offensive system. Seattle created 3 rebound opportunities and converted none; Boston created 7 and did the same, suggesting both teams crashed the net effectively but neither capitalized.
K. Kakko's wrist shot from the top of the circles in the third period (19:48) marked the moment Seattle pulled clear.