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Tampa Bay Lightning
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The executive brief
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The full workup
Model-estimated identity, talent tiers, special teams, regression flags and roster needs — process, result and luck, separated.
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Season snapshot
2025-26 final below0
Games played
0
Points
—
Points %
—
Goal diff
0-0-0
Record
The 2026-27 season hasn't started. Last season they finished 50-26-6 with 106 points (2025-26).
Upcoming
next 5Recent results
last 1This season vs last
per game · all situationsNo games played yet this season — last season is the whole picture.
2026-27
2025-26
Games played
0
82
Goals for / game
—
3.54
Goals against / game
—
2.82
Expected goals for / game
—
3.38
Expected goals against / game
—
2.92
Expected-goals share
—
53.7%
Shot-attempt share
—
52.7%
Backcheck recaps — NHL play-by-play + our xG model
The blog
vs New York RangersL 4–2
D. Garand stands tall as the Rangers edge the Lightning
vs Detroit Red WingsW 4–3
Lightning edge the Red Wings in overtime
at Boston BruinsW 2–1
Lightning hold off the Bruins
at Montreal CanadiensL 2–1
Canadiens run the Lightning off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Ottawa SenatorsL 6–2
Senators run the Lightning off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Buffalo SabresL 4–2
Sabres hold off the Lightning
vs Boston BruinsW 3–1
Lightning hold off the Bruins
vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW 6–3
Lightning run the Penguins off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Montreal CanadiensL 4–1
J. Dobes stands tall as the Canadiens edge the Lightning
vs Nashville PredatorsW 3–2
Lightning hold off the Predators
vs Ottawa SenatorsW 4–2
Lightning hold off the Senators
vs Seattle KrakenL 4–3
Kraken steal one from the Lightning against the run of play
vs Minnesota WildW 6–3
Lightning run the Wild off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Calgary FlamesL 4–3
Flames edge the Lightning in overtime
at Edmonton OilersW 5–2
Lightning pull away from the Oilers
at Vancouver CanucksW 6–2
Lightning run the Canucks off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Seattle KrakenW 6–2
Lightning run the Kraken off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Carolina HurricanesL 4–2
Hurricanes run the Lightning off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Detroit Red WingsW 4–1
Lightning pull away from the Red Wings
vs Columbus Blue JacketsL 5–2
Blue Jackets run the Lightning off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Buffalo SabresL 8–7
Sabres hold off the Lightning
at Toronto Maple LeafsW 5–2
Lightning pull away from the Maple Leafs
at Winnipeg JetsL 4–1
Jets pull away from the Lightning
at Minnesota WildL 5–1
Wild pull away from the Lightning
vs Buffalo SabresL 6–2
U. Luukkonen stands tall as the Sabres edge the Lightning
at Carolina HurricanesL 5–4
Hurricanes hold off the Lightning
vs Toronto Maple LeafsW 4–2
Lightning run the Maple Leafs off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Florida PanthersW 6–1
A. Vasilevskiy stands tall as the Lightning edge the Panthers
vs Buffalo SabresW 4–3
Lightning run the Sabres off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Boston BruinsW 6–5
Lightning run the Bruins off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs Winnipeg JetsW 4–1
Lightning pull away from the Jets
vs Utah Hockey ClubW 2–0
Lightning shut out the Mammoth, 2-0
at Columbus Blue JacketsL 8–5
Blue Jackets run the Lightning off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Chicago BlackhawksW 2–1
Lightning run the Blackhawks off the ice on the underlying numbers
vs San Jose SharksW 4–1
Lightning run the Sharks off the ice on the underlying numbers
at Dallas StarsW 4–1
Lightning run the Stars off the ice on the underlying numbers
at St. Louis BluesL 3–2
Blues steal one from the Lightning against the run of play
at Pittsburgh PenguinsW 2–1
A. Vasilevskiy stands tall as the Lightning edge the Penguins
at Philadelphia FlyersW 5–1
J. Johansson stands tall as the Lightning edge the Flyers
at Philadelphia FlyersW 7–2